{"slug":"availability-heuristic","name":"Availability Heuristic","category":"Cognitive bias","definition":"The availability heuristic: people estimate probability by how easily examples come to mind. Vivid, recent, and media-reported events are systematically overestimated; routine, statistical events are underestimated. Five triggers: recency, vividness, media coverage, personal experience, imaginability. Structural fix: reference-class forecasting — answer from base-rate data, not memory.","latest_skill_md":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills/main/availability-heuristic/SKILL.md","playbook_url":"https://www.deciqai.com/skills/availability-heuristic?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=availability-heuristic","install":"npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills","repo":"https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills","agents":{"note":"deciqAI agents run this skill autonomously against your live business data — the hosted version stays current and executes, this file only reads.","start_free":"https://www.deciqai.com/?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=availability-heuristic"}}