{"slug":"bayesian-reasoning","name":"Bayesian Reasoning","category":"Decision-making","definition":"Bayesian reasoning updates belief in proportion to how diagnostic new evidence is: your posterior odds equal your prior odds multiplied by the likelihood ratio. What you believe after seeing evidence depends not only on the evidence but on how probable the claim was beforehand—the base rate you started from.","latest_skill_md":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills/main/bayesian-reasoning/SKILL.md","playbook_url":"https://www.deciqai.com/skills/bayesian-reasoning?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=bayesian-reasoning","install":"npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills","repo":"https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills","agents":{"note":"deciqAI agents run this skill autonomously against your live business data — the hosted version stays current and executes, this file only reads.","start_free":"https://www.deciqai.com/?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=bayesian-reasoning"}}