{"slug":"black-swan","name":"Black Swan","category":"Strategy","definition":"A Black Swan, in Nassim Taleb's framing, is an event with three traits: it is a rare outlier outside normal expectations, it carries extreme impact, and it is rationalized as predictable only in hindsight. Because such events dominate history yet resist forecasting, the rational response is not to predict them but to build for the tails you cannot foresee.","latest_skill_md":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills/main/black-swan/SKILL.md","playbook_url":"https://www.deciqai.com/skills/black-swan?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=black-swan","install":"npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills","repo":"https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills","agents":{"note":"deciqAI agents run this skill autonomously against your live business data — the hosted version stays current and executes, this file only reads.","start_free":"https://www.deciqai.com/?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=black-swan"}}