{"slug":"decision-tree","name":"Decision Tree","category":"Mental model","definition":"A decision tree maps a multi-stage decision: decision nodes (squares) for choices you control, chance nodes (circles) for outcomes you don't, probabilities on every branch, payoffs at the leaves — then rollback right-to-left to get expected value at the root. First systematized by John F. Magee (HBR, 1964); formalized by Howard Raiffa (1968). Its biggest value: converting \"I feel we…","latest_skill_md":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills/main/decision-tree/SKILL.md","playbook_url":"https://www.deciqai.com/skills/decision-tree?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=decision-tree","install":"npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills","repo":"https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills","agents":{"note":"deciqAI agents run this skill autonomously against your live business data — the hosted version stays current and executes, this file only reads.","start_free":"https://www.deciqai.com/?utm_source=skill&utm_medium=json-api&utm_campaign=knowledge-skills&utm_content=decision-tree"}}