── ── Industry
Customs — AD/CVD & Tariff Exposure Cascade
The parent second-order-thinking traces downstream consequences others miss. AD/CVD and Section 301 exposure is a second-order trap: a classification or origin choice that looks fine at entry can, orders later, mean retroactive duties, cash deposits, and importer liability — the broker's reasonable-care exposure too.
Run Customs — AD/CVD & Tariff Exposure Cascade on a real problem
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How it works
- 1st order: stated HTS + origin → duty at entry. - 2nd order: does the product fall within an AD/CVD scope (by description, not just HTS)? Section 301 China list? - 3rd order: transshipment/evasion risk (EAPA), retroactive liquidation, importer's cash-deposit rate, successor liability. - Parties: importer, surety, broker reasonable-care.
When to use it
- goods may fall under an antidumping/countervailing duty order or Section 301
- sourcing changes
- 'are we exposed to AD/CVD or 301?'
- scope ambiguity
When not to use it
product clearly outside any order and no special tariff applies.
Worked example
Customs — AD/CVD & Tariff Exposure Cascade
The parent second-order-thinking traces downstream consequences others miss. AD/CVD and Section 301 exposure is a second-order trap: a classification or origin choice that looks fine at entry can, orders later, mean retroactive duties, cash deposits, and importer liability — the broker's reasonable-care exposure too.
Install this skill (free, MIT)
npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skillsUseful? Star the repo — stars help other builders find it.
Related mental models
The parent opportunity-cost measures the value of the best foregone alternative.
The parent mece forces mutually-exclusive, collectively-exhaustive buckets.
The parent decision-tree maps branching qualification logic.
The parent checklist is a verifiable gate.